If the utility replaces the PCB transformer, no PC incidents al secondary occur, and the only cost provide be that o the transformer, $85,000. Alternatively, if the corn pony decides to keep the alert PCB transformer, then management estimates thither is a 50â€"50 chance of there beingness a high likelihood of an incident or a low likelihood of an incident. For the case in which there is a high likelihood that an incident will occur, there is a 0.

004 prospect that a fire will occur erstwhile(prenominal) during the remaining life of the transformer and a 0.996 opportunity that no fire will occur. If a fire occurs, there is a 0.20 probability that it will be bad and the utility will perplex a very high cost of approximately $90 million for the cleanup, whereas there is a 0.80 probability that the fire will be minor and a cleanup can well-behaved at a low cost of approximately $8 million. If no fire occurs, then no cleanup be will occur. For the case in which there is a low likelihood of an incident occurring, there is a 0.00 1 probability that a fire will occur during the life of the existing transformer and a 0.999 probability that a fire will not...If you destiny to get a full essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com
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